Will the Technology Sector Lead the Recovery?
Posted by Kimball Norup on July 29th, 2009As we work our way through the Great Recession a popular conversation topic has been to ponder the “shape” of the eventual recovery. Will it be a U, a V, a W, or?…pick your letter!
No matter what your answer is to this question, we are starting to see some encouraging signs of optimism in the marketplace.
In addition to our financial services and life sciences practice areas, we are seeing good signs in the technology sector.
Many technology companies are beginning to strategize and implement their plans for growth. Even though they may still be operating under austere cost-control programs, the fact that they are thinking ahead signals a shift in mindset from “we must hunker down and ride out the storm” to “lets get going and start growing!”
What are the root causes of this shift in sentiment towards the positive side? There are many plausible reasons:
- The current stock market rally
- The much talked about “green shoots” that the Obama administration is planting and promoting
- Federal stimulus funds
- Mostly positive quarterly earnings reports from technology companies
Or perhaps it is just that management teams realize they must do something to revitalize their company’s fiscal year performance! Regardless, it is nice to see technology companies getting back to their normal pursuit of growth by any means.
Hopeful business executives are looking towards the future and making IT investments accordingly. What are some of the factors driving this behavior?
- Unlike the “dot-com” melt-down that kicked off the decade, this recession was definitely NOT precipitated by the tech sector. Ironically, the very sectors which led us into the economic abyss (real estate, financial services, retail, CPG, manufacturing) can now make very well justified technology investments (yielding solid ROI at low risk) which can help them emerge in a stronger competitive position.
- The software and IT services solutions that have low financial and business risk exposure are growing. For example, SaaS software solutions (like Salesforce.com) and managed hosting solutions (like Rackspace) are doing well.
- The concept and application of Cloud computing is growing. Leading companies such as Google, Amazon, and Microsoft are making massive data center investments, which are also resulting in excess capacity that they are offering to other companies at attractive rates.
- The growth of virtual work and the resulting “flexible workforce.” Work across all functional areas is becoming more project-based (something that has always been true for IT work!) This combined with an increasing desire for work/life balance has led to the growth of the flexible workforce. Technology has become an enabler for this dynamic in that cheap computing power and global communications technology enable consultants and other “virtual” workers to be highly productive regardless of their location. Employers benefit from this trend because they can now bring expert talent to drive specific results more cost effectively than the traditional full-time employee. (NOTE: This trend is something that M Squared Consulting is monitoring very closely, as our business model is predicated on delivering expert talent on-demand to our clients.)
- The Oracle acquisition of Sun. This was a game-changing move (Oracle expanding its footprint from the traditional infrastructure software and business applications by buying into the hardware and systems business) which will have far-reaching strategic implications for all the players in technology sector.
Is it too soon to call an end to the recession? Yes, but that doesn’t mean these encouraging signs from the technology sector can be ignored either.
It would also be foolish to sit idly by and wait for irrefutable proof of the recovery, because history proves that will come well after the fact. One lesson that we can take from past downturns is that major new technologies and truly transformational socio-economic trends are born in market turbulence.
At M Squared Consulting we are dedicated to helping our clients across all business sectors, including technology, to transform their businesses and capitalize on growth opportunities.

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